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- 📉 The Street According To GARP
📉 The Street According To GARP
Plus, a recession in 2025? Economists are seeing these red flags...


Happy Wednesday afternoon to everyone on The Street. Here's a snapshot of where markets ended the trading session, plus tomorrow's trade idea delivered to you today.
🟩 | US stocks bounced back today after President Trump pushed pause on auto tariffs for one month and said he’d be open to further exemptions.
📈 | One Notable Gainer: Thanks to the aforementioned development, shares of Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) sped forward 5.8% and 7.1%, respectively.
📉 | One Notable Decliner: CrowdStrike (CRWD) missed out on the rally. Its stock shed more than 6% following a disappointing earnings forecast.
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S&P 500 Heatmap. Credit: Finviz

All Stock Heatmap. Credit: Finviz

Global ADR snapshot. Credit: Finviz
MARKET MOVERS
Novo Nordisk, Abercrombie & Fitch, Moderna
NVO (+3.8%) Novo Nordisk to sell Wegovy for $499 a month to cash-paying US customers (Reuters)
ANF (-9.2%) Abercrombie & Fitch shares plunge after star retailer posts weak guidance for year ahead (CNBC)
MRNA (+15.9%) Moderna CEO Stephane Bancel purchases $5 million in company stock (Investing.com)
MPC (-5.3%) / VLO (-4.6%) Oil Stocks Fall Hard After OPEC Move to Boost Production (Barron’s)
HII (+12.4%) Huntington Ingalls, defense stocks surge as Trump sees big plans for shipbuilding industry (SeekingAlpha)
OVERHEARD ON THE STREET
WSJ: After meeting with the Big Three heads, the White House granted a one-month tariff exemption to automakers for cars meeting the USMCA trade agreement.
Bloomberg: However, Canadian leaders said it will not remove its retaliatory tariffs unless all US tariffs on the country are lifted.
CNBC: Mortgage demand surged more than 20% last week, as the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage interest rate fell from 6.88% to 6.73%.
Reuters: Factory orders rose 1.7% in January, driven by a surge in commercial aircraft bookings.
CNN: A 40-day boycott of Target begins today in response to the company's shift away from DEI policies, amid struggles with slowing spending and sales.
TOMORROW’S TRADE IDEA, TODAY

The Street According To GARP
Navigating the Market Pullback
After two years of >20% growth for the S&P 500 and a non-stop stretch of new record highs, for a second there, it seemed like the markets really had nowhere to go but up.
However, the mood has started to shift, and stocks ended February below where they started. Today’s rebound was a brief reprieve for investors, but tariff threats and recessionary fears still loom large, and likely will for the foreseeable future.
Citi (C) analyst Drew Pettit thinks the best way to play the current macroeconomic environment is to look for cheap stocks with growth potential.
He refers to this strategy as GARP: “Growth at a reasonable price.”
AppLovin
Pettit highlighted several stocks with a strong combination of growth and value investing, including Boeing (BA), PayPal (PYPL), and eBay (EBAY).
One of the most notable was AppLovin (APP). The mobile gaming firm led the S&P 500 last year, but fell more than 11% in February, following short seller reports alleging fraud and data theft by the company.
However, AppLovin denied the claims, and the selloff could provide an attractive entry point. Bank of America (BAC) agreed, naming APP one of its top picks. Analyst Omar Dessouky is confident in its profit margins and long-term growth, and believes it could revolutionize advertising in the mobile gaming industry.
Arista Networks
Similarly, Arista Networks (ANET) made Citi’s list, while also drawing praise from BoA.
It beat expectations for its earnings and forward guidance when it reported last month. The stock is up more than 25% in the last 12 months — but it has slumped by nearly the same percentage over the past month.
According to BoA’s Tal Liani, the beat-up data center stock is still set to benefit from AI in a big way. Liani rates ANET a Buy, citing strong management and the potential for its addressable market to grow to $60 billion by 2027.
Whether the broader market is rising or falling, there will always be opportunities, for those who know where to look. According to Citi and BoA, stocks with GARP potential are a good place to start.
Do you believe the S&P 500 will close 2025 in the green or in the red? |
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ON OUR RADAR
BI: The US Supreme Court ruled against the Trump administration, upholding a lower court's decision to release nearly $2B in USAID funds.
Reuters: US service sector growth accelerated in February, with higher prices for inputs and new orders suggesting rising inflation risks.
AP: The IRS is planning to cut up to half of its 90,000-person workforce through layoffs, attrition, and incentivized buyouts.
WSJ: The Trump administration has halted the costly use of military aircraft, like C-17s, to deport migrants to Guantanamo Bay or other countries.
Forbes: Indicators like negative Q1 growth projections, an inverted yield curve, and declining consumer confidence show growing recession risk in 2025.
TUESDAY’S POLL RESULTS
Are you bullish or bearish on Aurora Innovation (AUR) over the next 12 months?
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 🐂 Bullish
🟨🟨🟨🟨🟨⬜ 🐻 Bearish
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