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💳 Swiper Yes Swiping
Plus, the Atlanta Fed is forecasting a contraction in GDP... or is it?

Hi All - Happy Saturday and welcome back to Street Tweets from The Street Sheet.
Well, I have some lingering vertigo from the past week, but at least I can breathe again. We have a whole quarter til the next NVIDIA report, so for a blessed three months, we don’t have to worry about the economy crashing because a single company couldn’t quite double its sales again…
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Market Review:
Wall Street closed out a turbulent week with a strong finish, despite a volatile month for major indices. Friday’s rally saw the S&P 500 rise by 1.59%, the Dow Jones climb 1.39%, and the Nasdaq Composite gain 1.63%.
However, geopolitical tensions briefly rattled markets after President Trump and Ukrainian President Zelenskyy clashed in the Oval Office over a potential Ukraine mineral rights deal. This confrontation sparked fears of escalating global risks, and the Cboe Volatility Index spiked.
Zooming out, the Nasdaq had its worst month since April 2024, falling nearly 4%, while the S&P 500 dropped 1% in February. Concerns over tariffs and disappointing earnings reports, including a sharp decline in NVIDIA’s stock, also weighed on investor sentiment.
Market Preview:
Next week on Wall Street will kick off with the final manufacturing PMI and ISM manufacturing readings for February. On Monday, we’ll also get construction spending and auto sales data for January and February, respectively.
Tuesday will be quieter on the economic data front, but the presidents of the New York and Richmond Federal Reserve will both speak.
On Wednesday, investors will focus on ADP employment data, factory orders, and ISM services for February, along with the Fed's Beige Book.
Thursday will bring initial jobless claims, US productivity, trade deficit, and wholesale inventories for January.
Finally, the week will close out on Friday with the US jobs report and unemployment rate for February.
this generational divide is so crazy
— Paul Millerd (@p_millerd)
9:50 PM • Feb 27, 2025
For those who don’t want to click through to see the full picture…
The basic gist is, Millennials and Gen Xers are far more focused on building generational wealth, while Boomers seem more inclined to enjoy their money while they can.
Generational divide? Or are younger people simply more willing to spend theoretical money, and older people less willing to spend actual funds?
Total number of US-listed public companies vs private equity-backed businesses
A clear trend in private equity becoming increasingly important to our overall economy
— Boring_Business (@BoringBiz_)
8:00 PM • Feb 25, 2025
Companies are staying private for longer.
Can you really blame them?
We just watched NVIDIA’s stock shed 8% following a quarter when its sales rose 78%.
Miss me with those expectations.
Apollo Investments worried about downside risks to economy, notes that every 1 federal employee may actually be 3 jobs because of 2 contractors.
— Brian Sullivan (@SullyCNBC)
2:00 PM • Feb 22, 2025
What happened to the Elon who wanted us to all hand our jobs over to AI and just spend our lives making art instead?
I’d like to see him have a hand in federal policy.
Although granted, that wouldn’t do wonders for labor data either…
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US credit card debt has hit a record of $1.2 trillion:
— unusual_whales (@unusual_whales)
12:17 PM • Feb 28, 2025
Oof.
You know it’s bad when our debt exceeds Berkshire Hathaway’s market cap.
Holy shit.
Atlanta Fed is now projecting that Q1 GDP will be -1.5%… a contraction.
Last week it was +2.3%
4 weeks ago it was +3.9%— Geiger Capital (@Geiger_Capital)
4:07 PM • Feb 28, 2025
Scary — without context.
Couple things here.
First, GDPNow is not the official Atlanta Fed projection. It’s a purely mathematical model, without any subjective adjustments.
Second, a subjective adjustment might have corrected for a record widening of the merchandise trade deficit at last reading. Imports vastly outpaced exports, as companies rushed to beat tariffs to the punch.
And a growing trade deficit represents a subtraction to GDP.
In other words, the squiggly line might be less of a measured take, and more a reactive reflection of outlier data. Who’d’a thunk it?
QUESTION
What business was Berkshire Hathaway in when Warren Buffett began buying shares? |
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