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- 🥑 CAVA of Wonders
🥑 CAVA of Wonders
Plus, when will trade war retail shortages take hold?


Happy Thursday afternoon to everyone on The Street. Here's a snapshot of where markets ended the trading session, plus tomorrow's trade idea delivered to you today.
🟩 | US stocks rose again today as rate cut optimism gathered steam.
📈 | One Notable Gainer: It was all fun and games for Hasbro $HAS ( ▲ 14.42% ) today after the toy company posted a surprise earnings beat and maintained it is “well positioned” for tariffs.
📉 | One Notable Decliner: PepsiCo $PEP ( ▼ 5.02% ) , on the other hand, fizzled out after warning shareholders it is not.
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S&P 500 Heatmap. Credit: Finviz

All Stock Heatmap. Credit: Finviz

Global ADR snapshot. Credit: Finviz
MARKET MOVERS
Chip Stocks, IBM, ServiceNow
$STM ( ▲ 7.16% ) / $MCHP ( ▲ 12.38% ) / $SMCI ( ▲ 8.85% ) STMicroelectronics leads chip stocks higher, while investors await Intel results (SeekingAlpha)
$IBM ( ▼ 6.86% ) IBM Results Fail to Meet Market Hopes on Concerns About Tariffs, DOGE Cuts (Bloomberg)
$NOW ( ▲ 15.49% ) ServiceNow Stock Soars. Why Earnings Are a Positive for Tech Spending. (Barron’s)
$FI ( ▼ 18.34% ) Fiserv’s Shares Fall as Clover Growth Slows and Merchant Payments Processing Revenues Dip (PYMNTS)
$GEV ( ▲ 7.26% ) GE Vernova Swings to Profit as Backlog Rises (WSJ)
OVERHEARD ON THE STREET
WSJ: A Russian assault on Kyiv marked the war’s largest attack of 2025, prompting President Trump to publicly urge Russian President Putin to “STOP!”
Investing.com: Several Fed officials suggested that a rate cut could happen as early as June if data supports it.
AP: China denied being in active tariff talks with the US, dismissing Trump's optimism as baseless.
Fortune: Chipotle $CMG ( ▲ 1.07% ) reported its first same-store sales decline since 2020, with its CEO warning of growing consumer caution.
CNN: Motorola $MSI ( ▲ 0.88% ) rebooted the Razr flip phone with AI features from Perplexity, Meta $META ( ▲ 2.49% ) , Microsoft $MSFT ( ▲ 3.69% ) , and Google $GOOGL ( ▲ 2.37% ) .
TOMORROW’S TRADE IDEA, TODAY

CAVA’s Comeback
Overblown Selloff
CAVA Group’s $CAVA ( ▲ 5.29% ) stock is down more than 33% in the last six months. But Bernstein analyst Danilo Gargiulo believes the decline is excessive — and feels the fast casual chain could see a turnaround in roughly the time it takes to make an avocado bowl.
The analyst recently upgraded the stock to Outperform and set a $115 price target, representing a short-term upside of around 26%. According to Gargiulo, the market is too focused on the company’s short-term risks and overlooking its long-term growth potential.
Short-Term Volatility, Long-Term Vision
Gargiulo admitted that the stock is likely to face some short-term volatility. However, he says its current valuation is low. How low? According to the analyst, it’s at the same level as competitors like Chipotle $CMG ( ▲ 1.07% ) and Panera during the 2008 financial crisis.
Due to its strong sales YTD and expected same-store sales growth of between 6% and 8%, Cava will likely not be forced to lower its guidance like many other consumer-facing companies.
Fundamentally Sound
Fast-casual chains tend to do well during recessionary environments, and the analyst expects CAVA to be no different. It has strong margins and cash-on-cash returns, and unit growth is expected to come in between 15% and 18% by 2026.
In particular, Gargiulo is bullish on CAVA’s high-income customer base and prudent pricing strategies, and believes these factors will help it weather an economic downturn better than its peers.
Are you bullish or bearish on CAVA Group (CAVA) over the next 12 months? |
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ON OUR RADAR
WSJ: A 5.9% drop in existing home sales in March — the steepest in over two years — signals trouble for the key selling season.
Reuters: The US labor market saw a slight rise in jobless claims last week and strong March durable goods orders.
AP: Preorders for the Nintendo Switch 2 sparked overwhelming demand — and widespread frustration.
Bloomberg: Walmart $WMT ( ▲ 0.93% ) is ramping up discounts with “manager’s special” tags to attract budget-conscious shoppers amid economic uncertainty.
CNBC: US consumers can expect staged retail shortages within months in price-sensitive categories like toys, budget apparel, and home goods.
WEDNESDAY’S POLL RESULTS
Are you bullish or bearish on CoreWeave (CRWV) over the next 12 months?
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 🐂 Bullish
🟨🟨🟨⬜⬜⬜ 🐻 Bearish
And, in response, you said:
🐂 Bullish — “As long as the market remains strong.”
🐻 Bearish — “It's not part of the system.”
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